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Friday, February 09, 2007
I was speaking to the head of emerging technologies and research of a top analyst firm yesterday and one of the things that he highlighted as a key trend in the massive surge of investments focused on infrastructure virtualization and consolidation. His firm specializes amongst other things in tracking data and he definitely has the numbers to back him. What next is the question that both of us were trying to grapple with. The answers seem to be slowly emerging. Don’t confuse commoditization of computing with commoditization of computers – they are very different argues, Dr. Greg Papadopoulos, in what could be a defining model for the future of tech players. While recollecting the progress of 100,000 to 1M Times More MIPS/$ in 25 years, he highlights the 30X improvements in size, 24x improvements in power, 40X improvements in weight, 2x improvement in performance – all that has happened in the last ten years, achieved partly by exploiting massive parallelism in the core services, platforms, O/S instances and servers, storage & switches. Courtesy of Jonathan Schwartz saw his CTO’s analyst meet presentation, the shift is captured more succinctly here –in the past, Computer + Storage + Network + Power + Cooling+ Software= Blackbox ,as we move forward redshifting of services would mean that enterprises need to accommodate features like identity & security, SOA& Web 2.0, new clients etc. The Enterprise bridge shall encompass new players like eBay, Google, SFDC, Webex etc.. The power of leveraging these elements would demand more computing powers than the advances extended by Moore’s law, characterized as Redshift. Lot more computing cycles are needed and the resultant expectation of system administrators shift from virtualization & consolidation towards achieving efficiency at massive computing scale. Obviously there will be some early embracers of this and many who would wait and watch and this opens up different strata of markets for tech players, consulting powerhouses and system integrators.
Update : Nick Carr adds his perspective here on the same topic.
Category : Emerging Trends, Emerging Technologies |
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