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Wednesday, February 02, 2005

New Technologies, New Opportunties, New Offerings - View Through A New Prism

Techbeat writes, "Be afraid of new technologies" trying to disrupt existing technologies and moving in a different trajectory.
Views like Voice Over Internet Protocol will take a long time to make much of a dent in plain old telephone service. Once in a while, you receive views like "You're not going to get a mass migration to VOIP until such time as the service becomes the equivalent of what you have today," and that "You have to offer people more than they can do today."
The big mistake many people make with new technologies, from personal computers to the World Wide Web and, most likely, VOIP, is to compare them with existing ways of doing things, and then-big surprise!-they don't measure up. Yet already, more than 22 million people, plus 70,000 more every day, think Skype is more than good enough, and no doubt it will get better. What's more, it offers much more than POTS-such as the ability to know if someone's available before you call and set up conference calls with a click. Let the so-called experts argue over how many years away the tipping point is. I and 22 million other people already know it's here.
Disruptive Technologies need to be looked in with a different perspective – obviously at the initial stages, disruptive technologies do not look all that promising to all – except a few trendspotters and regulars would like to compare with the current competitor and focus on shortcoming when time pushes the new technology into a different forward trajectory. For example, today in the world - the number of mobile phones exceed the number of landline phones available- all this has happened in less than 15years..

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Sadagopan's Weblog on Emerging Technologies, Trends,Thoughts, Ideas & Cyberworld
"All views expressed are my personal views are not related in any way to my employer"