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Sunday, April 11, 2004

One nation under Internet Protocol by J.William Gurley

Take a trip to Korea or Japan, and you will immediately have a new appreciation for the definition of broadband.What is most striking about the notion of a 45-megabit Internet Protocol connection is the overwhelming universality of such an incredibly high-speed packet-based conduit. Into it melt all forms of media and communications: voice, data, video and any other application or service you might imagine. There is no need to consider bringing multiple connections or service providers into your home, for this network can do everything you need and more. Gurley beleives that the Korean, Japanese experience should be repeated in the US, but beleives that seven factors would have a key stake in this decision: A.Who is the leader today? B.Will there be a long-term, stand-alone business for voice services? C.content providers can establish a direct relationship with their customers - e.g Comcast, Hilton etc.. D.Will the cable providers "break" the IP network? E.How will the RBOCs respond? F.Who is underestimated in this market evolution? G.Will there be a video over IP portal? Gurley concludes by saying, "As IP engulfs everything else, many traditional industries and paradigms will be challenged." An excellent analysis of current technological capabiltiies and possible moves by entrenched business players.

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