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Monday, May 08, 2006

Indian Exit Polls: Some Less Wrong & Others More Wrong

The national media in India is full of assessments from various agencies with projected results based on exit polls. The technology and the process needs lot more strenghtning - at the moment, it is probably far from it. Seen in the Indian context, there is no doubt all the exit polls have been wrong, some less wrong and some others more wrong. In the recent US elections, the discrepancies between exit poll results and actual results were indeed telling. Global audience of this blog may find how complex it is to administer and work on the election machinery(this time some provinces in India went to polls) in this continent size population - the country taken as one is unarguably the largest democracy on earth.The indian provincial elections also saw lot of blogs active - writing, debating, predicting and assessing issues and prospects. I am off to china in a few hours from now and won't get the chance to update(this domain is blocked in china) when the actual results are out - but things are unlikely to have improved given the levels of rigor seen in conducting the exit polls in the country.

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