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Monday, November 01, 2004"Go forth, build a great service, open it up, and share the money. The best services will win" - about future opportunties in internet computing and the emerging winners. So impressive is the article, am reproducing with some edits and have added occasional refeences /comments. Jeremy starts by asking: Why is Microsoft the big and successful company today? One reason goes back to the original vision that Bill Gates was preaching back in the day –it was something like this: A PC in every home and on every desktop running Microsoft software. Given their nearly complete dominance of the market for PC operating systems and office productivity software, they've come shockingly close to achieving that vision. Yesterday's Lesson - Bill realized early on that there was great power (in many forms) to be had in getting on as many desktops as possible. The resulting near monopoly has allowed them to beat competition, make record profits, and enter other lines of business as a force to be reckoned with. As the installed base of Microsoft software grew during the late 1980s and early 1990s, anti-trust case was brought against Microsoft by the United States Department of Justice. The lesson was clear: To become ubiquitous was to become insanely profitable and powerful.
In Today's World, The PC is no longer the only battleground. The Internet is the new medium and it has the effect of leveling the playing field, and can be characterised as:
1. The web enables infinite distribution of content without any special effort or infrastructure.
2. The web extends the reach of our apps and services as far as we're willing to let them go.
Both notions come back to ubiquity. If your stuff (and your brand) is everywhere, you win. The money will follow. It always does.The closer to everywhere you can reach, the better off you'll be.Where is everywhere? The notion of everywhere has changed too. It's not just about every desktop anymore. It's about every Internet-enabled device: cell phone, desktop, laptop, tablet, palmtop, PDA, Tivo, set-top box, game console, and so on.Everywhere also includes being on web sites you've never seen and in media that you may not yet understand.
What to do? So how does a company take advantage of these properties? There are three pieces to the puzzle:
1. do something useful really really well
2. put the user in control by allowing access to your data and services in an easy and unrestricted way
3. share the wealth
Doing so requires a someone with real vision and the courage to make some very big leaps of faith. Those are rare in today's corporate leadership. Startups are more likely to have what it takes, partly because they have less to lose. The three puzzles in concrete terms:
Kicking Ass and Taking Names
Without a killer product, you have no chance. Three companies that comes closer to achieving this are Amazon.com Amazon.com, GoogleGoogle, and eBay. Each has one primary thing they do exceptionally well--so well that many users associate the actions they represent with the companies themselves. Need to buy a used thingy? Find it on eBay. Looking for some random bit of information? Google for it. Shopping for something? Check Amazon.com first. The financial markets have rewarded these companies many times over for doing what they do very well. And users love them too.
Web Services and Syndication (RSS/Atom)
Giving users the ability to access your data and services on their own terms makes ubiquity possible. There are so many devices and platforms that it's really challenging to do a great job of supporting them all. There are so many web sites on which you have no presence today. By opening up your content and APIs, anyone with the right skills and tools can extend your reach.Two good examples of this are Amazon.com and Flickr, the up and coming photo sharing community platform. Amazon.com provides web services that make it easy to access much of the data you see on their web site. With that data, it's possible to build new applications or re-use the content on your own web site. The end result is that Amazon sells more products. It also reinforces the idea of Amazon being the first place to look for product information. Flickr provides RSS and Atom feeds for nearly every view of their site (per user, per tag, per group, etc.) and also has a simple set of APIs on which anyone can build tools for working with Flickr hosted photos. The result is that Flickr is becoming increasingly popular among early adopters and the Flickr team doesn't have to build tools for every platform or device in the world. (Of course, it helps that their service is heads and shoulder above other photo sharing services like, say, Yahoo! Photos.) Giving users the freedom to use data and services they way they want gives them a sense of ownership and freedom that few companies offer. It helps to build some of the most loyal, passionate, and vocal supporters. And some of them will put your data to work in ways you never dreamed of.
The final ingredient is monetizing value of the community. If there's a way to let your users help you make more money (there probably is), you need to find it, do it, and give those users a cut of the action. Affiliate programs are one way of doing this, but not the only way. Amazon.com has been doing this for a long time now. Their affiliate program provides an easy way to earn credit at Amazon in return for leads that result in sales. eBay provides cash if you refer a bidders to their auctions. A relative newcomer, Google's AdSense program has provided thousands and thousands of small publishers with cash on a monthly basis in exchange for advertising space on their sites, expandin and enhancing Google brand reach and image in the process.
Companies that do all Three
Three companies that are exploiting all three of these ideas.
Amazon.com built the gold standard of on-line shopping. They followed up by providing easy to use web services that allow anyone to get at much the data on Amazon's web site. This, coupled with their affiliate program, gives them very wide distribution and a good chance at capturing the long tail of users on the Internet.
eBay's auction platform is used by millions of people every year to buy and sell anything you can think of. Their incredibly large audience has served to cement their lead in this area over the last few years. Sellers have access to an API that makes listing their goods trivial. Hopefully they'll begin to offer RSS feeds or very simple web services aimed at making their listings more accessible to the other half: buyers or small publishers who'd like to refer them. That could greatly enhance their reach into the world of users who'd be willing to pimp a few eBay auctions if they can get a percentage of the sale.
Google followed the same model too. They began by setting the new standard for how web search should look, feel, and work. With that position solidified, they rolled out a web service to provide access to their search results. They also launched their wildly successful AdSense program. The fact that Google's ads are contextually relevant without any extra effort on the part of the publisher means puts them in the lead position to monetize that long tail .
User Generated Content
This is really part of point #1, building a great service.As you look around the web to see which services you use over and over, it can be hard to truly appreciate the effects of user generated content. Scobleizer also emphasies this.
Amazon? Sure, they have reviews and ratings of products. But look deper. There's wish lists, the recommendation engine (it would be useless without without data from others), list mania, and more. Flickr? Users own the photos. But they also do the tagging, organize the photos, leave comments, form groups, and so on. Flickr provides the platform.The more your service can be affected by user input, the more users are likely to come back again and get involved. This is personalization taken to the next level.
What's this all mean?
We're in the early days of all this, so there are still huge opportunities. Luckily a few companies have shown us the way--the new formula that works. But they each have room to improve.
Who will be next on the list?
Jeremy thinks Yahoo on that short list by this time next year. Microsoft and AOL both have potential but not seeing little evidence from either. Apple is an interesting case. With iTines, the iPod, and the iTunes Music Store, they've done #1 and #3 but really need to figure out how to open up their stuff. Netflix has done #1, part of #2, and none of #3 yet. In the blogging world, Google's Blogger has hit all three of the requirements. Typepad from SixApart has #1 and #2 nailed.
Jeremy concludes by saying,"Build a great service, open it up, and share the money. The best services will win. And so will the users".
Among the most excellent piece that i have come across in recent times. Must read for all interested in understanding, tracking and creating future enterprises. |
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