|Cloud, Digital, SaaS, Enterprise 2.0, Enterprise Software, CIO, Social Media, Mobility, Trends, Markets, Thoughts, Technologies, Outsourcing|
Linkedin Facebook Twitter Google Profile
Wednesday, September 08, 2004The rate of technological change is dizzying, and it's only getting faster.Futurists find it hard to resist this radically changed superhuman future, though futurists are, in point of fact, human. Our IQs aren't high enough to boil water. Our brains aren't supercharged with nifty silicon memory chips. Our organs aren't continually rejuvenated by blood-borne nanomachines. Such shattering break-throughs seem more or less plausible, but they're so mind-boggling that we can't say anything useful about the effect they're likely to have. Sciencefiction writer Vernor Vinge popularized the term singularity in the early '90s. For about a decade, it threw a wrench in the gears of science fiction as an intellectual effort. It's hard to fantasize about tomorrow when you're firmly convinced that tomorrow is inherently unfantasizable. However, sneaky sci-fi authors have been able to finesse the problem. After all, the genre doesn't exist to forecast the future; it's entertainment that depends on making the impossible seem plausible. A singularity turns out to be a great way to do that. It may be unthinkable and indescribable - but the wreckage it leaves isn't. After a singularity blows through, the world might as well be Oz, complete with talking scarecrows and tin men.
|Sadagopan's Weblog on Emerging Technologies, Trends,Thoughts, Ideas & Cyberworld